Friday, October 31, 2008

Polls Tightening? Nope.

Here are the most recent reputable polls from various battleground states.

Colorado:

Rasmussen: Obama +4
CNN: Obama +7
InsiderAdvantage: Obama +9
Marist: Obama +6
AP-GfK: Obama +9
Rocky Mtn News: Obama +12
National Journal: Obama +4


Florida:

Quinnipiac: Obama +2
Rasmussen: Obama +4
Strategic Vision: McCain +2
CNN: Obama +5
Miami Herald: Obama +7


Indiana:

PPP: Obama +2
Rasmussen: McCain +3
Selzer: Obama +0.6
Survey USA: Obama +4
Research 2000: Obama +1
Howey-Gauge: McCain +2
Big Ten: Obama +9.5


Missouri:

Rasmussen: Obama +1
SurveyUSA: Tied
Research 2000: Obama +1
CNN: McCain +2
Mason-Dixon: McCain +1


NC:

PPP: Obama +1
Rasmussen: Obama +2
Mason-Dixon: Tie
CNN: Obama +6
AP-GfK: Obama +2
National Journal: Obama +4


Nevada:

Rasmussen: Obama +4
Research 2000: Obama +5
CNN: Obama +7
AP-GfK: Obama +12
Suffolk: Obama +10


Ohio:

Quinnipiac: Obama +9
Rasmussen: Obama +4
Strategic Vision: McCain +3
SurveyUSA: Obama +4
PPP: Obama +7
U. of Cinc: Obama +3
CNN: Obama +7


Penn:

Quinnipiac: Obama +12
Strategic Vision: Obama +7
SurveyUSA: Obama +12
Mason-Dixon: Obama +4
CNN: Obama +12
Rasmussen: Obama +7


Virginia:

Rasmussen: Obama +4
PPP: Obama +9
SurveyUSA: Obama +9
ABC/Post: Obama +8
CNN: Obama +9
VCU: Obama +11
Mason-Dixon: Obama +2
Marist: Obama +4

Doesn't look too tight to me, especially when you consider that nearly every one of these was a red state in 2004. Obama only needs to pick off one or two of these to win; McCain needs to pretty much run the table.

And just for fun, I should also point out that McCain is now up only by the low single digits in both Georgia and even his own home state of Arizona.

2 comments:

Vicki Cana said...

Looking good!
It feels really great to be approaching the end, because this has been a major addiction for me. NEVER before have I followed a campaign with diligence, just as I have never spent (SOOO MUCH)time on blogs. The stress waiting for the outcome is unbearable, yet, because of the great inspiration Senator Obama has evoked, I am definitely anticipating his victory.

'Yes, you can, guys!' Go, do it!

Gianna said...

Charles, are you intending to continue blogging at aabw after the election this coming Tuesday?

I hope so.